FOLLOWING THE POLLS: The September Edition
As promised, I have finally gotten around to putting together my little compendium of polling data. I offered diaries on some national polling several times last week. Today, I look at the individual...
View ArticleNEW POLLS IN IA, NH, SC: Interesting '08 Dynamics Emerging
Consider this a prelude to a larger edition of my "Following The Polls" series, which has been reduced to a monthly exercise (it will be weekly before long, and then daily as we approach the...
View ArticleFOLLOWING THE POLLS: The November Edition
Yep, I admit it. Kinda, sorta blew off the entire month of October. My bad. One day, I will blow a diary on listing the (count 'em!) EIGHTY THREE polls from the month of October.As for November, there...
View ArticleNEW SUSA POLLS IN MIDWEST: Muddling The Electability Argument?
SurveyUSA has unleashed a torrent of polling today, with releases from five midwestern states. Two were Kerry states in 2004 (Minnesota and Wisconsin), while three went to George W. Bush in 2004 (Iowa,...
View ArticleNew IA Poll: Edwards The Co-Leader...Kinda
I say "Kinda" because this has to be the most closely contested Iowa caucus EVER.The new poll from Research 2000, and published today by the Globe Gazzette in Northern Iowa, has John Edwards and Barack...
View ArticleRasmussen: Dems Lead In Electoral College + New Polls in OH, VA, OR, MN, IA
This morning, Rasmussen Reports, which has been in the top half of pollsters in terms of accuracy during the last few cycles, has launched a neat new feature.Taking a variety of sources, they project...
View ArticleFocus On...IOWA!!! (part 17 of a 50-state series)
Every State. Every race. Right here.This is number seventeen in a planned series of 50 entries between now and November, looking at each of the 50 states in terms of every race on that state's...
View ArticleFOLLOWING THE POLLS: The "I'm Baaack" Edition
Yep, so at this point the sheer mass of polling data is such that it is time for me to tiptoe back into the water. The fact that school has let out for the summer (though I am teaching summer school)...
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IA-Pres: Obama bounces upward in new PPP poll
Faeth Farmstead — Fort Madison, IA (Bill Whitaker, CC-BY-SA)Public Policy Polling (PDF) (5/27-30, Iowa voters, 4/15-17 (PDF) in parens, 1/7-9 (PDF) in brackets): Barack Obama (D): 49 (45) [47]Mitt...
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IA-Pres: Rick Perry leads GOP field
Rick Perry can do so much more than eat corn dogs (Leschnyhan/Dreamstime.com) Public Policy Polling (8/19-21, Republican primary voters, no trendlines):Rick Perry: 22Mitt Romney: 19Michele Bachmann:...
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Jon Huntsman has sky-high unfavorable ratings with Iowa Republicans
Among Iowa GOPers, Huntsman's unfavorable rating is triple his positive score (Yuri Gripas/Reuters) Technically speaking, if Jon Hunstman is the adult in the room, doesn't this mean that Iowa...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 8/25
To receive the Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest via email each weekday, sign up here.Senate:•HI-Sen, HI-01: Good news for progressives: Rep. Colleen Hanabusa will seek re-election to the House,...
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Poll: Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich lead among Iowa Republicans
Republicans still mulling their choice for top clown of 2012 Polling Company (R). November 11-13. Likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers. MoE not reported. (No trendlines.) Herman Cain: 20Newt Gingrich:...
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Iowa poll: Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul join Herman Cain and Mitt Romney in...
Newt Gingrich is the GOP's clown du jour (Jonathan Ernst/Reuters) Selzer & Co. for Bloomberg. November 10-12. Likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers. ±4.4%. No trends.Herman Cain: 20Ron Paul: 19Mitt...
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Iowa Poll: Newt Gingrich leads field, Mitt Romney falls to third place
Newt Gingrich demonstrates—and admires—the size of his ego during a recent GOP debate Selzer & Co. for Des Moines Register. November 27-30. Iowa Republicans. ±4.9%. Obviously, the first thing these...
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Early state polls: Gingrich with wide lead, Romney headed for third in Iowa?
Sources: PPP | ABC/WaPo | Winthrop As you can see, Newt Gingrich's surge is showing no signs of relenting—he continues to open up the widest leads of any candidate thus far in the campaign, and given...
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Newt Gingrich within single digits of Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, leads big...
ORC for CNN and TIME (PDF). Republicans. 11/29-12/6. (Trend: 10/20-25) (Note: Herman Cain supporters allocated to their second-choice picks.) The most interesting numbers in this chart in New...
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PPP Iowa Tracking Poll: Newt Gingrich clings to lead over Ron Paul
Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich square off in Saturday's debate on ABC Public Policy Polling (PDF). 12/11-13. Iowa Republicans. ±4.2%. (12/3-5 results) Gingrich: 22 (27)Paul: 21 (18)Romney: 16 (16)Bachmann:...
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NBC/WSJ: Newt Gingrich leads Mitt Romney by 17 points in Republican primary...
Newt Gingrich offers free history lessons during last Saturday's debate on ABC Hart/McInturff for NBC/WSJ (PDF). 12/7-1. Republican primary voters. ±4.9%. (11/2-5 results) Gingrich: 40 (13)Romney: 23...
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PPP Iowa Tracker: Ron Paul takes lead, Newt Gingrich falls off cliff
Newt Gingrich, in happier times for his campaign, shakes Ron Paul's hand PPP's tracking poll finds a new leader in Iowa: And Nate Silver's model now forecasts a Ron Paul victory: The model gives him a...
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CNN: Finally, Rick Santorum starts moving up in Iowa
Not quite number one just yet (Bryan Snyder/Reuters)The first good news Rick Santorum has had all campaign season long (11/29-12/6 trendlines are in parens): Even if Santorum's rise is real (PPP did...
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CNN survey may understate Ron Paul's support
Ron "I did not write that newsletter" Paul (Jeff Haynes/Reuters) Nate Silver points out a potential flaw in the latest CNN poll: CNN limited its survey to currently registered Republicans. What’s wrong...
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NBC/Marist Iowa poll shows Mitt Romney and Ron Paul in lead, tight battle for...
It's down to the wire (PDF): I'm sure Paulites won't like to hear this, but whether or not Ron Paul wins Iowa, he's not going to be the Republican nominee, so I'm mostly interested in two things:...
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PPP: Piping hot surge of Rick Santorum spreading throughout Iowa
Is Rick Santorum about to snag a come from behind victory? Public Policy Polling (PDF). December 31, 2011-January 1, 2012. Likely Iowa Republican caucus voters. ±2.7%. (Dec 26-27 results.) Paul: 20...
View ArticleObama up 10 over Romney in Iowa
Finally, after months of Iowa not being polled, PPP has come out with fresh new polling from Iowa, and it shows Obama leading Romney, 51%-41%. As Tom Jensen explains:The reason for Obama's enhanced...
View ArticleAbout that ridiculous new 'Twilight in America' web video from Romneyland...
New Romney web video on Iowa economy The Romney campaign is out with a new four-minute video of unemployed Iowans sharing their stories about "the Obama economy." As Mike Allen puts it, the message is...
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Great news for Chris Christie!
Finally some truly GREAT news for Chris Christie Time for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie to bust out some happy new dance moves, reports Politico:Iowa poll: Chris Christie gains on Hillary ClintonChris...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections early voting roundup: Ohio and Iowa show signs of life...
Various strains of speculation erupted post-Comey on Friday. Besides the incessant debates over the FBI director’s motives, or the nature of the investigation, election-minded folks immediately...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections early voting roundup: Democrats try to seal the deal on a...
Welcome to the Daily Kos Elections early voting roundup, which appears every weekday until Election Day. Click here to find out if and when early voting is available in your state.As hard as it might...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections early voting roundup: Is a more diverse electorate the...
This is the final installment of our early voting roundup, and for a very important (and obvious) reason: as of a few hours ago, the voting is no longer “early.”Yep, polls on Election Day are open...
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